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Apple Weather and Snow: What's Behind the Forecast?

A major storm system is expected to deliver significant snowfall and freezing rain across more than half of the United States this weekend, with winter weather alerts in effect in cities like Atlanta, Baltimore, Boston, Charlotte, Cleveland, Dallas, Indianapolis, Nashville, New York, Philadelphia, Raleigh, Washington D.C., and others.

Apple Weather Map
On the iPhone, iPad, and Mac, the Apple Weather app has forecasted up to two feet of snowfall in some cities, which has led to a lot of discussion about the app and how its forecasts can sometimes significantly differ from other weather providers.

The New York Times today reported on the topic. First, it said "many weather apps" show the results from a single forecast model, whereas meteorologists will often look at many models. Second, it noted that meteorologists caution that it can be difficult to forecast specific precipitation amounts several days in advance of a storm.

As this system approaches, snowfall estimates shown in the Apple Weather app have decreased in many cities compared to what was originally forecasted, but the amounts remain significant in many areas. Other cities may experience freezing rain, sleet, or a wintry mix, and the weather could cause power outages in some locations.

Apple Weather Data Sources

In 2020, Apple acquired the popular weather app Dark Sky, and it has since integrated the app's features and hyperlocal forecasts into the Apple Weather app. In a support document, however, Apple says that it still gathers at least some weather data from sources including the U.S. National Weather Service, The Weather Channel, and others.

Severe Weather and Next-Hour Precipitation Notifications

In the U.S., you can receive severe weather and next-hour precipitation notifications on your iPhone by opening the Apple Weather app, tapping on the list icon in the bottom-right corner, tapping on the three dots in the top-right corner, selecting Notifications, and turning on both types of notifications under Current Location.

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Top Rated Comments

dannyyankou Avatar
15 weeks ago
As someone who tracks storms as a hobby, it's predicting so much snow because that's literally what the models are showing. Air will be super cold too, so snow will be fluffier and pile up more.

As an example, here are the snowfall amounts that the latest run of the Global Forecast System model is showing-



As for the snowfall amounts in the app decreasing, there has been a noticeable northward shift in the models the past couple days. This is bringing slightly warmer air to certain cities in the south, decreasing the snowfall totals and falling as freezing rain or sleet instead.

Attachment Image
Score: 28 Votes (Like | Disagree)
15 weeks ago
Why is the Apple Weather app forecasting so much snow ahead of a major snow storm? Really? 🤦‍♂️
Score: 24 Votes (Like | Disagree)
15 weeks ago
As a degreed meteorologist, I’ve seen that all of the weather apps use the raw model output with minimal human analysis before the forecast is posted. That’s why we also get the whiplash snowfall amounts as each new model run comes out, especially in the long end of the forecast range.
Score: 18 Votes (Like | Disagree)
MacUserFella Avatar
15 weeks ago
Forget Apple Intelligence and Liquid Glass, Apple needs to shift all focus into fixing the Weather app
Score: 15 Votes (Like | Disagree)
15 weeks ago
Apple Weather hasn't been accurate for me in California. Predicted no rain when it actually rains and vice versa. weather.gov has been more accurate.
Score: 9 Votes (Like | Disagree)
15 weeks ago

Someone's clutching at straws to link snowfall to Apple 😅🤣
Basically MR in a nutshell lol
Score: 7 Votes (Like | Disagree)
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